Something interesting happens in the stratosphere, it can easily be concluded view on weather maps

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Something interesting happens in the stratosphere, it can easily be concluded view on weather maps and temperature at 10 hPa. With the concept stratwarming be handled very recent years, especially on social networks, but the story is not quite so simple. It is a sudden warming in the stratosphere, which occurs at a height of 25-40 kilometers. To follow this warming is pushing the easiest to analyze the temperature at 10 hPa, and it is interesting to note that these plots located at about 32 km altitude. Stronger winter in the past (eg 1956th years) associated with stratwarmingom or consequential weakening of the polar vortex. online mall
The course stratwarminga can be traced with the help of many other products, but mainly it comes to experimental models, not to mention the fact that the impact online mall of events in the stratosphere to the troposphere is still not fully understood. In this regard, we also need a lot to learn to be able to handle a more concrete long-term forecasts, although it certainly will not be possible for some time. Let us recall the recent announcement of winter century that was supposed to occur more this December Statement of the meteorologists who want attention, online mall they transmitted and local media, raising unnecessary panic. Of course it was a foresight which have extremely shaky foundations. Our response on these predictions can be read HERE.
To a greater amount online mall of cold air could come to our region, the polar vortex to be weaker and possibly torn by strong anticyclones well developed in height. Of course, online mall such scenarios dock primarily for extreme cold because of the snow and the cold does not need to reach just such extreme phenomena in the atmosphere. Strong stratwarming, polar anticyclone and block situation in the Atlantic sponsoring the "good winter", but all these events online mall should not coincide for an average winter.
The weakening of the polar vortex is certainly to some extent contributes stratwarming, and the weather maps that date back for a further period (10-15 days) started to show concrete signs of this warming. For now it is a far less warming in relation to the last two winters, a useful comparison can be seen in the gallery.
The last two winters just be hit very warming in the stratosphere and snow in the lower range, and the historical impact of cold on the Adriatic Sea in February 2012. For now, models this season seeing weaker stratwarming, online mall so that the possibility of its impact on systems in the troposphere be reduced. We still can not conclude whether there will be a weakening of the polar vortex and anticyclones development that could interrupt the flow west and allow the arrival of extreme cold.
Today's air temperature at 10 hPa air temperature at 10 hPa on New Year's Condition 01/07/2014. Stratwarming 01.01.2013. Stratwarming 05/01/2013. Stratwarming 01/10/2013. Warming in the upper atmosphere and see ECMWF (240 h) Synoptic situation 07.01. GFS GFS Ensemble
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